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2024-12-13 18:20:23

To sum up, the repair and rebound in the past two days have not changed the judgment logic of the small high point. Although I am still optimistic about the market outlook, after careful measurement, I find that it is still very difficult to continue to accelerate after the market breaks through a new high. The current price-volume coordination is not supported for the time being. Therefore, I still tend to take the initiative to step back and gain momentum before I enter the acceleration cycle.Next, let's look at the prospect of tonight's heavy meeting. Raising deficit ratio and issuing extra-long-term special government bonds were also expected before, and then we will wait for the specific figures to be announced. There is one thing that is worthy of recognition, that is, the A-shares must be launched above, but the robot has ebbed, and the acceleration of consumption here will prevent it from dying after the final policy is implemented.This wave of market rose for 12 days, only fell for 3 days in the middle, but the increase was only 6.19%, which was a proper slow pace! Next, either the volume is accelerated, or the high probability is to step back and gain momentum before breaking through. In response, you can wait and see by holding shares. If the short-term rise is high, remember to drop the bag and adjust the position. If this wave underperforms the market, it will be enough to make up for the increase with performance support.


To sum up, the repair and rebound in the past two days have not changed the judgment logic of the small high point. Although I am still optimistic about the market outlook, after careful measurement, I find that it is still very difficult to continue to accelerate after the market breaks through a new high. The current price-volume coordination is not supported for the time being. Therefore, I still tend to take the initiative to step back and gain momentum before I enter the acceleration cycle.However, if we continue to shake and consolidate below this point, the risk of the broader market will not be great, so let me remind you that before the logic of judging the small high point has not changed, we can continue to watch more and move less. After all, today's reversal is mainly driven by favorable+mysterious funds entering the market, rather than the real offensive kinetic energy of the market.In the evening, the CPI data of Laomei is in line with expectations, and the probability of interest rate cuts will increase greatly next week, but today's A-shares are still faltering in early trading! Obviously, the external positive has been desensitized to A-shares, but a sudden positive in the session directly pulled the market back to the upward trend, so can A-shares continue to rise tomorrow? The 3500-point battle is reopened?


Emotionally, there are 139 stocks with daily limit, 5 stocks with daily limit and 65 stocks with a drop of more than 5% in the two cities. The data shows that the expected differences were not staged as scheduled because of the favorable stimulus, but the situation of high-standard stocks' nuclear buttons and broken boards continued to deteriorate. At present, the main risks are still focused on stocks that have risen recently, and it is basically safe not to chase after them.This wave of market rose for 12 days, only fell for 3 days in the middle, but the increase was only 6.19%, which was a proper slow pace! Next, either the volume is accelerated, or the high probability is to step back and gain momentum before breaking through. In response, you can wait and see by holding shares. If the short-term rise is high, remember to drop the bag and adjust the position. If this wave underperforms the market, it will be enough to make up for the increase with performance support.Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 3,536, and the number of individual stocks fell by 1,717. The general increase and repair market continued, and bulls continued to dominate the market rhythm. Obviously, the recovery and rebound in these two days, whether it is a good blessing or other factors, once again verified that Tuesday's high opening and low walking is just washing dishes, not shipping, so you don't have to worry about the market reappearance on October 8.

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